Luana Lopes Lara, co-founder of Kalshi, spends all day thinking about probabilities. Coming out of an elite math degree background and positions at some of the most successful hedge funds in the world, a mindset focused on thinking clearly about potential outcomes comes naturally to her. But the youngest self-made female billionaire ever still had…
Bill Ackman, CEO of Pershing Square Capital Management, speaking on CNBC’s Squawk Box on Oct. 21st, 2025. CNBC Outspoken investor Bill Ackman who aspires to be the next Warren Buffett is taking his hedge fund public on the New York Stock Exchange. Pershing Square filed on Tuesday to list on the Big Board under the…
U.S. Sen. Jeff Merkley (D-Ore,) speaks during a press conference addressing a new policy that demands recipients of foreign military aid to follow international humanitarian law at the U.S. Capitol in Washington, U.S., February 9, 2024. Nathan Howard | Reuters Payouts to unnamed bettors after the ouster of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and the…
Buying contracts on prediction markets is just another word for “gambling,” says former Trump White House Chief of Staff Mick Mulvaney, who is leading a coalition that wants state authorities, not a federal commodities agency, to regulate that growing industry. “The simple answer is that it’s gambling. It just is,” Mulvaney told CNBC’s Contessa Brewer,…
Prediction markets are facing renewed scrutiny from federal lawmakers after wagers about the fate of Iranian leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who was killed in the Saturday bombardment of Iran. “It’s insane this is legal,” said Sen. Chris Murphy, D-Conn., in a post to X, referring to another post highlighting people who had made money on…
Michael Selig, U.S. President Trump’s nominee to serve as Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) chairman, testifies in a Senate Agriculture Committee hearing on his nomination on Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C., U.S., Nov. 19, 2025. Jonathan Ernst | Reuters The Commodity Futures Trading Commission filed an amicus brief in federal court on Tuesday to assert…
Polymarket banner outside the New York Stock Exchange on Oct. 7th, 2025. Kevin Stankiewicz | CNBC Prediction markets are booming, with monthly trading in the billions and a recent estimate from a consulting firm saying that the relatively new phenomenon could grow to $1 trillion by the end of the decade. That’s a lot of…
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. NYSE Shares of New York Stock Exchange parent, Intercontinental Exchange, rose more than 4% in the premarket after The Wall Street Journal, citing sources, reported that the company was nearing a deal for a $2 billion stake in Polymarket. The deal is expected to…
