Americans are broadly opposed to politically protesting, but poles also show that Democrats are coming around the idea because the redistribution fight between parties has intensified in summer.
Voters show voters in the voting spectrum that politicians germandering with mistrust and support limitations, which are capable of attracting lines to help their favor. But in practice, members of both sides are getting more open to their states that responding to the efforts of others to capitalize on this process.
“You may have these ideas, and they look anti -, but they are not completely inconsistent,” said Alexander Rosel Hayes, a senior data scientist at YouGov. “It makes sense in a way, in a way, to say someone,” I think germanding should be banned at the national level. If it is not going to be banned at the national level, and other states are doing so, we have to do it too. “
Although this practice is common in red and blue states, bias Regularly pollutes Between both voters Corridor,
Because of that feeling among the Democrats Dissemination of independent commissions In the 2000s and 2010s, many blue-shock states established to handle redistribution in a nonpartison manner.
A yougov Poll shown from early August Half of the American respondents rejected Texas to attract more Republican-Hukkav House districts, including 40 percent who said they firmly rejected. Two-thirds Republican said that they were at least some extent on the board with the plan, but did not get support anywhere else.
Overall, more than 30 percent stated that they support Texas’s action, and only 16 percent said they firmly approve.
Taken after a Reute/IPSOS poll Paint a similar picture55 percent said that winning the districts again to win more seats in the house is bad for democracy, while only 18 percent said it is not. Those who said that it damages democracy includes more than 70 percent of Democrats, most independent and rpublin’s plurality.
Alek Tyson, a senior vice -president of public affairs for Ipsos, said the opposition to GOP is more modest than Democrats, which he attributed some voters to see signs from his leaders. Texas village like President Trump and other Republicans. Greg abot Called for your party To try to take seats through redistribution.
Tyson said, “Certainly, a section of the Republican party has some effect, and I think that in the approach between the Republican, you see what you see,” Tyson said, who noted that Republican still considers quarrelsome to a large extent.
Resistance to gerrymandering can also create a challenge for the government of California. He advocates as Gavin Newsom (D) For a ballot measure This can allow the state government to go around its independent commission and recreate its lines for the remaining decade.
A Politico-Sitrin Center-Polar Lab Survey found that more than one third of California has been voted. Support Returning Redhistic Rights in the State Legislature with almost two-thirds of protest.
Those opponents included 9, 8 out of 10 independence in 10 Republican and even half of all Democrats.
As a result, Newsom vowed to proceed with a ballot measure to respond to Texas.
But another pole released a week later, from the University of California, Berkeley Institute of Government Studies, 48 percent said He supported the ballot remedy that can create more democratic-accepted seats in the House. One third said that he opposed it, and 20 percent was unspecified.
The institute’s co-director Eric Skikar said that an important difference between the two elections is that the first one did not specify that the proposal from Newsom is temporary, while the institute clarified that it would only be for 2026, 2028 and 2030 elections, but will return after the Commission.
He said that the language of measurement is important for voters to be more open for this.
“I think what it suggests, when the issue is designed as a temporary response to Texas, the voters of California are more inclined to go with it, if it was, ‘We are going to remove permanently with the revival commission and give this power to the legislature,” Sakikar said. “I think it is appropriate to say that if Newsom put on voting, there is a very good chance that it will fail.”
Skikar, who is also a professor of political science at the University of California, Berkeley, said he is willing to see if the Republican rebuttles causes a comprehensive change between the Democrats due to being more aggressive on the Republican redistribution. But he said that about this temporary move of Newsom, it tells that he is no longer “curious” to go in that direction.
Yougov’s another pole released on Wednesday Indicated more support In response to other states working first to re -prepare the lines.
Support for Democrats to help the districts themselves, if Texas rose to 31 percent for the first time among all adults before 24 percent in August. The percentage of Democrats supporting a response increased from 40 percent to 53 percent, and support between independents increased 10 points.
In response to its moves in California, support for states to resume its lines also increased, 8 points in adults, 5 points between Republican and 8 points among independents.
Hayes said that the biggest innings IPSS has seen is in favor of “conditional gemandering”, if the second kingdom first acts. He said that most of the people of all parties say that they believe germandering is unfair and should be illegal, but they are more open for it as part of the “title for sack”.
An exception can be Indiana, which has been at least so far to chart its own path, but the redistribution has not yet been washed away in the fight.
Many gop state MPs Has expressed doubt Regarding redistribution despite the pressure of Trump administration.
A pole from a left-wing firm Change research found Half of the half -respondents of Indiana was opposed to rebuilding the map of the state, while a third was in the side. More than 80 percent of the people said that the redistribution should be balanced, appropriately, while only 20 percent said that the majority should be able to rebuild lines in a way to benefit the Republican as Indiana is a Republican state.
More than two-thirds of Republican agreed with the East.
With White House Pressure on Indiana for redistribution And some MPs softened its opposition, it is uncertain whether the state will move forward. But Ben Greenfield, a senior analyst of change research, said that he hoped that some amount remains to remain regardless of the opposition.
He said, “The fact that people are listening to the issue and listening to the leaders of their own party and the needle is still not moving towards hyperpolarization, it suggests that there will be some possibility of pushbacks to some extent from the Republican,” he said.
Hayes said that by finding one of the first and second surveys of YouGov, most voters were saying that they do not want districts who only favor their side, but are competitive.
“Even among the parties, people are telling us that they will have a competitive election,” he said. “It seems that there is something accidental, which is now among the most of the Democrats, who are resigning themselves to say,” If it is going on, we just got to fight hard. But I was not really not doing it at all. “
