NFL Week 1 predictions, fantasy sleepers, upset picks, bets

1 week of 1 2025 NFL season Already running with Eagles Cowboy beating Opener and in Chargers defeating heads in BrazilWe are preparing for the regular season for weeks Glimpse And RankingBut just in the case you still need some final-minute intel. 14 games Remaining on Sundays and Mondays, our NFL analysts covered you in the eleventh hour.

First, Analytics writer Seth Walder broke three state trends which could be important later this week. Then fantasy football writer Eric Moody walks through five players who cried in less than 50%. ESPN Fantasy Football League Can be started by Saturday and in a jam. After this NFL analyst Ben Solak predicted three potential big surprises and picked up a significant matchup to watch NFL analyst Matt Bowen. Finally, sports betting analyst Pamela Maldonado gave his favorite bet of week 1.

Be able to Jahmir gibbs Is there a huge received game? Will Bangles finally win in week 1? Which two Jaguars should be added to your fantasy league? Let’s dive.

jump to:
State trend , Fictional sleepers
Potential surprise , Major matchup
The best bet of the week

Walder: Three major state trends that can determine the winners

Is the lion running back Jahmir gibbs Packers in line for a huge obtained day against zone coverage?

One of my favorite state splights is an anomaly between a running back numbers against man and zone coverage. In the previous season, the back was targeted at 10% of the man coverage dropback and was caught at 8% of such dropbacks. But against the zone, the same number increased by 18% and 15% respectively. This reception is doubled when the zone is facing!

Well, make an guess that I finished third in getting the yard between the running back and which team finished second in the zone coverage rate in the previous season. This is correct, gibs and packers. He should be installed for one Huge day,


Bouckers age nashar Hessen Radic Get the best of Falcons Backup OT Eliza wilkinson,

it is First exam To see what radic left in the tank after that Lost year With jets. It should be easy to clean.

Wilkinson will play the right tackle for Falcons Kaleb McGarry And Hurdle InjuredThe last time Wilkinson played tackle in 2021. And during over 1,300 snaps in Tackle between 2019 and 2021, Wilkinson recorded a 73% pass block win. That mark would have secured the final place in 2024 among the qualifying tackle.

Reddick, who recorded a sack of double digits in every season from 2020 to 2023, Stay For the first six weeks of 2024 due to a contract dispute with jets. After returning, he recorded only one bag and a career-3 12% pass Rush win rate in 10 games. If the radic finds a way to return to its old form, it should have no problem in defeating Wilkinson and having a real danger. Michael Penix JuniorBut if he cannot produce, this game may be a thick signal for the rest of the radic season.


Dolphin could WR Malik WashingtonKick returns make a difference against colts?

The touchback rate number at the end of this week can be really interesting. after Big changes For kickoff rules in 2024, NFL owners agreed Transfer the touchback 30-yard line from 35. I am wondering if the touchback will fall faster at the 64.3% rate of the previous season, holds more importance on kick returns and coverage. This can be an effect across the board, but a matchup that looks particularly complicated is Washington against Indianapolis coverage unit.

In the previous season, Washington was a strong return, with 121 kick returns (fifth highest in the league) according to NFL Next Jean Stats. Meanwhile, Colts allowed 8.3 kick returns yards per return (second highest) expectation, including a touchdown.

Indianapolis had only 13 kick returns from their opponents in the previous season (tied to the second lowest), so we will see if Washington gets a chance to get one out with new rules.

Moody: Five fantasy sleepers you need to take – and can start this week

Oli Gordon IIRB, Miami dolphin (40.1% roadstand)

Sixth round is crook Devon AchneWhile backup while Jayelane right Gets recover from Less-foot injury He could keep him out of the first month of the season. Achane is Hope to play As he is cured by his injury (calf), but not surprisingly if Gordon has 10 touch in short-yards and round-line conditions. Colts allowed 18 Rushing Touchdown in the last season, which finished seventh in the league. Gordon ran for 34 touchdowns in his last two sessions in Oklahoma State, winning the 2023 Dock Walker Award as the top running back of college football.


Marvin Mims JR., WR, Denver bronchos (39.9% rosard)

Despite the danvar Signature tight end Ivan ngram The offsen has earned a large target share after the MIMS showed a big reverse in the late 2024. In the last eight matches, MIMS caught 32 out of 37 targets. Bo nix For 447 yards and six touchdowns. His ability to endanger the defense in a vertical passing game makes him an excellent sleeper, even against Hard secondary of Titans.


Trevor laurenceQB, Jacksonville jaguar (37.5% rosard)

Lawrence is in a great place against A panthers defense that allowed the most fantasy points per game for quarterbacks in the previous season. Carolina’s defense also did not do much to improve this offsen, and Lawrence is now Brian Thomas JRAnd Travis Hunter As their top goals. It also helps that Jaguar coach Liam Coen Architects were behind Baker mefield2024 breakout, where he scored 21.5 fantasy points per game and ended as QB4.


Rashod BetmanWR, Baltimore Ravens (32.5% rosard,

Betman played a career-high 17 games in 2024, which set new points in both Yard (765) and Touchdown (nine). While QB Lamor jackson Will continue to run passing games through Zay flower And Mark AndrewsBetman has been introduced for the third highest goals. ,Dendre hopkinsWho showed signs of decline with the heads in the previous season, their biggest competition as a tertiary option.) In a matchup in a matchup. against Bill with one of the highest point yogas, Betman has a strong chance to shine.

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0:59

Foxworth: Revenne Opener Crucial for Home-field benefits in AFC

Domonic Foxworth explains why the revenue season opener vs. Bill is important to get home-field benefits in AFC.


Brenton strangeTe, Jacksonville jaguar (20.2% rosard)

The start of Jaguar after the departure of Strange Insgram is a tight end. Lawrence historically targeted his tight ends, and Angram was injured in eight matches last season, Strange recorded 275 yards and 29 catches for two touchdowns. The protection of the panthers allowed the league-high 11 touchdown to tease in 2024.

Solak: Don’t surprise if …

The highest scoring game is Attack slogans, Week 1 is always good for a stunning barn burner or two, and I will stick to this matchup on Sunday. The crime of the reders is a special attraction. Will the chip kelly go quickly? How aggressive will be Geno smith Throwing downfield? Be able to do Ashton Jeanty Immediately running a top -10 back?

And on the other side of the field, Drake Maya A new aggressive coordinator, two new tackles and a new WR1 Stephen DigsPatriots Star Corner Christian gonzalaz (Hamstring) is also out for this one. I am looking for fireworks.


Bangles finally look good. In the early week recent seasons have not been kind to Cincinnati. Last year, they lost to Patriots 16-10 snoozefestIn 2023, they were a victim 24-3 embarrassment Against Brown.

But this season, Bangles completely Overhale their training camp processQuarterback Joe Buro Play five drives in the Presiden, and neither Ja’arrr chase And neither T Higins Keep this offsen out. Bangles’ crime is fast ready to come out of the gate, and it is an old friend -that brown defense – Waiting on the other side,

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1:13

RC’s Hot Tech: If Bangles lost their first 2 games, then ‘season over’

Ryan Clarke says that the success of Cincinnati Bangles in this season will be determined by his first two matches.


Something else is really something. Week 1 is a wild time, and we are priced to overract because we have not seen regular-seas NFL football in 207 days (but who is counting?). Some reminder from last year’s week 1: Saints scored 47 points. JK Dobins 135 yards away, while Deeric henry Runned to 46. Future of Passing game Was declared dead in water. Of course, some things are real – remember how rough Cancer cousin Was trying to move against the steelers to the pocket? Just prepare yourself for anarchy.

Bowen: key matchup to see

Chicago beer Pratcation Kaleb Williams Vs. Minnesota Vikings DC Brian Flores

The defensive system of the floors creates confusion to oppose quarterbacks due to pressure and late coverage rotation. In the last season, Vikings led NFL with a blitz rate of 38.4%, and we should expect Monday nightYes, New beer coach Ben Johnson has experience against floors and will respond to pressure. But it is still on Williams, who had only 56.4 vs. Blitz QBR, which as a cheater, to identify the post-snap photo and throw over with time when the floors speed their interior clock.

Maldonado: My favorite bet for week 1

Detroit Lions At +1.5 green Bay Packers

Detroit is designed to travel with an experienced quarterback, one of the most effective running crimes and is a coaching staff that remains aggressive in prominent places. What does it do Add Pathetic Micah Parsons For Green Bay actually makes them a 1.5-point favorite on Detroit? He certainly enhances the crowd near Packers, but the aggressive line of Lions is still aristocratic.

Quarterback Jordan love Comprehensive receiver is not available Christian watson Back yet from him ACL injuryAnd packers may be limited outside the vertical game Romeo Dauobs And Jayden reedDetroit reformer secondary matches well. The seasonalong is with the reverse pack – but not against It is a team out of Lions Gate. Hold the points with a better roster.

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