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Kelly McDaniel
We have collected estimates for the most anticipated free agents of the last three Offson: Earlier it was Aaron Judge, Then Shohi Ohtani, Juan Soto again (with An update in October,
However, in this winter, records are not expected to break the records such as Ohtani and Soto, there are two players who are complicated for different reasons and also have the same first name: Kyle Schwarber And Kyle tucker,
From one point of view, Tucker has done a solid walk year, posting 4.7 warfare with his aggressive numbers with just one tick from last year’s career year, but inherent the matrix close to his best sessions. On the other hand, Tucker actually scored a thick run in August, which used to kill .148/.233/.148 (16 WRC+) from 15 August to 18 August from August 18 to 18. Due to this, he sat out from August 19 and 20. Chicago cub The Right Fielder has hit well since returning, but now he is on the injured list With a calf stressHe said, that was Tied to fifth in baseball in war in late JuneAnd he lives in the top 20.
The season of Schwarber is less complex. Philadelphia philis Slugger has posted a career best in most aggressive categories, including their 50 homes, 123 RBI and 4.5 wars. The sole negative to its approach to the free agency is that Schwarber will be 33 years old in March and has played only 13 games in the field in the last two sessions. In its 30s, well -designated hits have not performed well in free agency, but none of them had killed 50 homes in their walk year, so Schwarber is in the unwanted area.
How much can each kyle get in this winter? We voted 20 scouts, officers and agents to find out.
Kyle tucker
How much can you get a tucker?
Here are 20 reactions from our panel, which are grouped in levels from total dollars.
Under $ 350 million (6): 11 years/$ 308 million, 9 years/$ 315 million (2x), 8 years/$ 320 million, 9 years/$ 340 million, 9 years/$ 342 million
$ 350- $ 399 million (4): 8 years/$ 352 million, 10 years/$ 375 million, 12 years/$ 375 million, 11 years/$ 380 million
$ 400-499 million (8): 10 years/$ 400 million, 11 years/$ 400 million, 11 years/$ 418 million, 10 years/$ 420 million (2x), 10 years/$ 425 million, 12 years/$ 425 million, 10 years/$ 450 million
At least $ 500 million (2): 10 years/$ 500 million, 12 years/$ 550 million
The average of all 20 estimates is 10.1 years, $ 391.5 million for $ 38.8 million average annual value (AAV).
The average projection of those deals is $ 390 million.
Who are the nearest comps?
The consistent standout performance of the tucker (five directly 4-5 FWAR season and five directly directly from the hitting performance league average) makes it difficult to find free agent comparison recently. he is 10th in baseball in war in last five sessions,
In the last four free agent sections, $ 150m+ status players do not have a great fit for Comp. Soto’s $ 765 million deal and Ohtani’s $ 700 million deal is not useful. Shortstops Willie Adams, Turn turner, Xander Bogaerts, Carlos Korea, Dansbi swanson, Marcus Semian And Corey seager The situation is quite different as, although the seagar is not a terrible secondary Comp. Freddy Freeman It was three years older than a tucker as a free agent and Aron judge He was two years old, while 62 homeers were also coming in 11.1 war season, so neither does it seem relevant. Chris Bryant While he was hitting the free agency, he was already trending while Brandon nimmo Was trending, but was worried about stability over the years.
Vladimir Gurro Jr.With $ 500 million April expansion with Toronto Blue Jais It is a compress that came with the people we surveyed. The expansion of Vlad kicks for its age -27 season in the next year, while the tucker will be 29 years old. This is only two years, but it is very important to introduce the value in a long -term deal. Tucker has a more basic and positioned value, but is still a corner outfielder. The expansion of Gurero was signed out of a competitive bid position, with the belief that the Jaz had paid a little more than the market to close his franchise after the last place’s last -place American League East Finnish and with fellow core players. Bo bichet Still is non -inspired.
Who are the potential suits of tucker?
There was little confidence from those surveys (none of which do not work for the cub) about winning a bid war for a tucker about the cub. Los angeles doorsTucker’s long -time fans were mentioned by internal sources in many industries. We did not ask about an estimated team, so the upcoming doseers often indicate a feeling in the industry that they are to defeat the team.
Keeping all those pieces together, you can see why a contingent of the industry feels that Tucker will land somewhere around the expansion of the Gurro, some feel that it will be finished close to $ 300 million, but most of them have given him about $ 400 million, or taking it, who is also, whoever is, who is also. Where sources of Jeff Pasan led him,
Kyle Schwarber
How much can Schwarber get?
Here are 20 reactions from our panel, which are grouped in levels from total dollars.
Under $ 100 million (2): 4 years/$ 72 million, 3 years/$ 90 million
$ 100- $ 125 million (11),
$ 126–180 million (5): 4 years/$ 140 million, 6 years/$ 150 million, 4 years/$ 160 million, 5 years/$ 160 million, 4 years/$ 180 million
At least $ 200 million (2): 6 years. $ 200 million, 7 years/$ 245 million
The average of all 20 estimates is 4.3 years, $ 131.8 million for $ 30.7 million average annual value (AAV).
The average projection of those deals is $ 119 million.
Who are the nearest comps?
A handful of comps come to schwarber:
JD Martinez, Five years, going to their age -30 season in $ 110 million 2018 (45 pm, 4.3 war walk year)
Paul Goldsmide, Five years, going to their age -32 season in $ 130 million 2020 (33 pm, 4.6 wars in the year)
Freeman: Six years, going to their age -32 season in $ 162 million 2022 (31 hours, 4.7 wars in the year 4.7 wars)
Comp Mathematics states that Schwarber should be one year less than the lowest deal due to its age (thus, four years) and $ 25–30 million average annual value (AAV) area, which is correct where the survey of those surveys ended.
Who is the possible suicide of Schwarber?
Unlike the position of the tucker/cub, many of them have been surveyed to bring a strong chance that Philips will work quickly because to bring Schwarber back after the season is over. Either way, he seems to be a goal for a competitive team, looking for beef in the middle of its lineup in the short term, and hopefully there is no albatros on its laser at the end of the deal.
All those teams will be alert to luxury tax numbers, and a rival agent brought an interesting wrinkle, which he is expecting to see: Schwarber will get the fifth year that will be a little added for money, to bring down AAV.
Many teams should be interested in that low-nine-novel area, as predictions suggest, but eventually a landing spot can be close to $ 150 million with sufficient competitive bid. He said, some teams cannot just stomach that kind of money for an old DH.
