Many notable home retirement and handful of redistribution fights are playing several seats for both sides as they are ready to control the lower chamber next year.
Rape. David Schaekart (R), who represents a battlefield district in Arizona, announced that he would not seek reunioning next year and will run for the governor instead, giving Democrats a rare pickup opportunity.
Democrats also feel that they are close to Nabing the second Congress district of Nebraska after the rape.
Meanwhile, a comprehensive redistribution war has established a scuffle for both sides.
There is a look at major pickup opportunities in the House for Republican and Democrats here.
Democratic pickup target
Arizona’s first Congress district
Schweikert Tuesday announced He will leave the seat of his house to run to the governor in the Northeast Phoenix suburbs as Republican will look at the Gove Katie Hobbes (D) next year.
A former state MLA, Schaekart, has served in the Congress since 2011. He won his last election against Democrat Amish Shah, an emergency room physician and a former state legalist, who is running for his seat near 4 points again next year. President Trump won his district by 3 points, According to the downballot.
Nonpartison Election Handicapper Cook Political Report described his seat as “toss up”.
Nebraska’s second Congress district
Bacon Announcement at the end of June He was going to retire from home after his current term, capping in the lower chamber in a decade.
Bacon proved to be a malignant candidate in a district, in which the parties have traded in presidential competitions. He specifically knocked former representative Brad Ashford (D-NEB) by just one point during his first election in 2016 by Morar.
Bacon said that he decided to retire to spend more time to return home with his family. Cook rate the seat as “Lean Democrat”.
California’s first Congress district
California Democrats will have an opportunity to take a handful of house seats next year if voters approve a new set of Congress lines in this November. Democrats passed the map in the hope of neutralizing the Texas Republican, expecting them to be made with new house maps.
A Republican that can be ready to lose its seat is Dag Lamalfa (R) in 1 Congress district of California. He has served in the House since 2013 and represents a district in Northern California which extends to the northern suburbs of Sacramento.
Trump’s associate Lamalfa won his last election in November by more than 30 points. Under the new proposed map, however, their district will break into three pieces, giving Democrats a pickup opportunity.
“The district of Lamalfa, currently a safe Republican, selects a lot of blue turf in the Santa Roja region to become a double -digit Harris district,” Kyle Kondic and J. Miles ColemanManagement of Editor and Associate Editor of Crystal Ball of Sabato from Virginia Center for Politics University.
California’s third Congress district
Rape. Kevin Kelly (R-Calif.), A former state MLA, who also worked as a sub-attorney general of a state, is another Republican, who can withstand a difficult race if the voters of California approve the map of a democratic-pasinous Congress.
Kelly’s district Nevada hugs the boundary of California with Nevada and is already considered as a competitive district – Trump won a 4 -digit seat in November and won close to 2 points in 2020, According to the downballot.
Under the new map, Kelly’s district Eastern Sauramanto will still be quite small, including some of the suburbs. Kondik and Coleman say that the new district, if passed, must have gone for 10 points for Harris.
California’s 41st Congress District
Another member of the Rape Ken Calvart (R-Calif) is to look between the broad California redistributed battle. He has served in the Congress since 1993 and represents a district in Rivaraside County.
Calvert’s seat was already competitive, Trump won around 6 points in November and more than a point in 2020. Under the new map, the district will be completely new and will be considered a safe pickup opportunity for Democrats. Based on last year’s vote, it would have gone for 14 points for Harris, saying Kondic and Coleman.
“In Southern California, the rape can be terminated, the district is compulsorily terminated. The proposed CA -41 appears to some extent as the Latini -Bahu Los Angeles seat,” they note.
“The district drawn in the proposal took a major step to the right in the 2024 presidential race, which was going from Harris to 14 from Biden by 26 points, but it would still be a safe Democratic district in terms of 2026 (although probably not later in the later decade if the Hispanic takes another step for vote rights),” he said.
Gop pickup target
Texas’s 34th Congress District
Texas Republican rebuilt its Congress linesBetween a pushFrom President Trump, eventually making a map that offers them five more seats next year.
Rape. Visent Gonzalazas (D-Texas) already represents the seat of a GOP-shouting house in South Texas, but the new map will include some Nuses counties.
Kondic and Coleman Noted in another analysis The new district must have gone by 10 points for Trump, although both say that in their district and 28th district, “more Republican-Republican is made on the map, but not so much that they guarantee the Republican victory.”
The opponents are temporarily preventing the map from using, while the litigation gives the winds in its own way through the courts, although it is not clear whether the GOP-favorite map critics will succeed.
Texas’s 35th Congress District
Rape. Greg Kaiser (D-Texas) represents a house seat that extends from Austin to San Antonio, although the new map will effectively eliminate his seat and remake it to San Antonio-region’s seat.
Instead of a democratic stronghold, which went close to 34 points for Harris, the ridron Congress lines went to Trump by 10 points instead. Kaiser has said that he will run in the 37th Congress district in Austin.
Missouri’s 5th Congress District
A former mayor of Kansas City, who has served at home since 2005, rape. Imanuel Clever (D-Mo), Missouri is in danger of losing her seat in the next cycle after passing a map to eliminate her district.
Under the new map, the Canasus City will be demolished between three districts, and some eastern rural areas will also be included in the district of Clever. Coleman Noted in a separate analysis The new district must have gone by 18 points for the President – far from 23 points, Harris won it by last year.
It is not completely clear whether Missouri will use that map in 2026, because like Texas, it is subject to litigation. The opponents of the map are also using the referendum process to force statewide votes on new maps.
Ohio’s 9th Congress District
Rape. Meri Kapur (D-Ohio)-The longest serving woman in the history of Congress-has returned the GOP’s efforts to defeat her again and again.
His district embraces the north -western corner of the state including Toledo, and went close to 7 points of the previous cycle for Trump. Trump won it by 3 points in 2020. He won his last election at least from one issue.
Ohio needs to rebuild its map this year, as the map used in the 2022 cycle did not get enough bipartisan support. While the Republican has also not introduced its map – and the process moved to the Ohio Recapture Commission this month – it is expected that Republicans would draw a map, which is ready to make Kapur’s reunion more difficult.
Ohio’s 13th Congress District
Rape. Emilia Cyx (D-Ohio) is expected to be a top target for Republican when they resume their map. Cyx has served in the House since 2023 and represents the 13th Congress district, including Akron.
Sykes won their district by 2 points in November. This divided his votes between Harris and Trump in the presidential race.
