Aron judgeDiagnosis of one Flexor tendon tension His right elbow may have been implicated as a situation of “most good news” New York YankisBut forgive us Imaginary manager To catch the outlook of “evil news”, that the number 1 player in our game has now been sidelined and has re-awakened the question of his injury.
Still, five days after the most recent appearance of the judge, he is still Top scoring hitter In terms of fantasy points (402, or more than 23 Shohi Ohtani Is alone as a hitter), as well as the number 1 name on us PlayerSuch players, of course, are irreplaceable.
Nevertheless, what should our fantasy teams do without a judge – and it hosts the questions. How devastating is it really devastating to lose a top-shelf talent for injury?
What are the chances of the resting-seas of the judge, their yankies have only seen it as the absence of 10-day?
ESPN League (GASP) should have fictional managers drop judge?
This is not a common phenomenon
Although we have collective memories Only ours The first round of fantasy pics are plagued by prolonged injuries, the example of the judge-the latest number 1 overall player is hurt for an extended period and, for the argument, let us define that the minimum 10-day absence is uncommon in the form.
I scrolled back through the last 45 full sessions, saw the “rotisary era” of fantasy baseball (1980-current), and found that that only two During that time, the top scoring hitter either landed on IL or tolerated at least 10-day absence due to injury after All-star break (counting only number 1 ranking on the date of injury): Edgar Martinez, in 1996, and David Orties, 2012.
Shohei Ohtani would have led to fantasy scoring at the time of September 2023 injury. If we counted their pitching contribution, but as a hitter he was 75 points behind the then leader. Ronald Ekuna JuniorWhile Edwin was leading in scoring at the time of Encarnasian His July 2014 injury, but it happened a few days before the all-star break.
Interestingly enough, all these players spent significant times because the designated Hitter-Martinase, Ortis and Ohtani played full-time there-and all but Ohtani were at least 31 years old at least 31 years old at that time. Nobody had a similar injury for the judge, as Martinez suffered an injury, Ortis had a tension of Artiz, Ohtani injured his diagram, and Encurdians settled with Quadriseps Strain, but Quartet reported that the Quartate was seen in 2012 after returning, the results were seen in 2012-only one more game was seen in the game. Concern of fuel.
Judge’s injury is also unusual
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Dice: Yankis in ‘uncertain’ situation with judge injury
Jeff Pasan explained the timeline for a possible return of Aaron Judge from the injured list.
Expand the area Any Hitter, not only those who were carrying their fantasy teams at the time of injury, judge injury – a flexor tendon tension in his right elbow – is not what we usually see in hits.
I was harassing my injury database, I could find only seven hitters in the last decade (2016–25), who dealt with any type of flexor tendon injury (especially those listed as IL placement time): Counting of those listed as the time of IL placement): Justin Morno and Steve Pierce, 2016; J Bruce and Aaron Hicks in 2019; PJ Higgins, in 2021; Mich GawarIn 2022; And Andy RodriguezIn 2024.
Six of those seven players eventually required surgical intervention (Bruce was exception), and each one required surgery or absence of at least one month before he returned from their initial IL Stent. He said, no caliber was close to the hitter who is a judge. Example of Gawar-that returns to serve as DH, especially after 10-day absence, kills more power after its tenure (5.6% HR rate, .236 ISO) (3.4%, .141 ISO)-The closest comparable as the role of time-table and the expected post-chot.
Flexor strains are very common for more than 90% of such IL stints in my database. Those who were able to return within the same season typically missed 1-2 months, but again, this is not a suitable comparison point for the judge, that the special value of a pitcher is throwing baseball, which the judge is not planning to start on his return.
How devastating is this?
Should the judge really remember only 10-day minimum, then be able to hit 90% of his former self for the remaining season, fantasy owners can carefully look at the effects of his absence in mixed leagues. This is a completely different case in large leagues-Think of Mixed and Al-Kaval types-but free agent pool is a lot of stock with short-term replacement.
it is Uncertainty The recovery of the judge which increases this question. Remember, Yankis has no incentive to stay completely open about the rest-seas pregnancy of the judge, not with especially trade deadline (Their best and perhaps last chance to get the right area reinforcement) is coming quickly. It is perfectly possible that the judge may require a long IL stint compared to 10 days, performing at less than 90% of your own when managing the injury as a DH, ultimately requires some combination of any kind of surgical improvement, or some of the above.
Let’s take the point from year to year, return the league to portray the effect of losing the judge. Among the primary-state outfielders who are available between 65-85% of the ESPN League at any date this season, an effective “replacement level” for the situation, here are production levels that you can expect:
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Next 10 days: 2.06 FPTS/G, 13.0 Total FPTS per player, 28% scored 20-Plus FPTS
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Next 20 days: 2.05 FPTS/G, 25.7 Total FPTS per player, 25% scored 40-Plus FPTS
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Next 30 days: 2.04 FPTS/G, 37.8 Total FPTS per player, 22% scored 60-Plus FPTS
This is a significant decline so far from the 3.90 fantasy points of the judge and if we conservatively assumes that he will miss 20 days and perform at 90% of its own after returning, he will put it. And Their discount wire replacement at 572 fantasy points for the season (as they will capture the same roster spot). It is 60 behind whether the judge’s speed was at the conclusion of its most recent game, or the game drop-off per game 1.02 fantasy points in the rest of the way.
This is an important hit for fantasy teams, but not as frightening as you can think, only six other hitters (Ohtani, Cal rale, Kyle tucker, Jose Ramirez, Kyle Schwarber And Juan Soto) Attitude for the total level of the total season. While the judge’s injury stings exactly, but its only actually scary part is likely that his recovery is worse than that 20-day, 90%-proposition estimates.
So, should you cut the judge?
That judge can remember this time, yet find themselves in the top seven scorers in terms of fantasy points for the season, he is a will for his guardant raw capacity. There are really only a handful Aristocrat class Artist in the game – untouchable players in the fantasy league. Heck, eight weeks ago, I told about it Even business judge’s absence in this place.
He said, the position of each roster is different, and the teams – a small percentage, is given – need to be desperate in sufficient conditions to clean any and all available spaces. Manager Aaron Boon’s judge optimistic update – Slogger is extending baseball activities with the target return date of August 5, which means a minimum IL migration – it is mandatory to scare that you keep it roasted. Hey, you get a pair of IL spots in the standard format of ESPN!
Do all this and, yes, are due to being worried about the possible contribution of the judge under the stretch. He is also one of the most special players we have ever seen, and He His recovery fuel the common sense of optimism around their recovery.
Keep the judge … but cross your fingers.
