Eliminator power rankings: Use Ravens or Seahawks in Week 12

November 19, 2025, 12:02 pm ET

espn eliminator challenge One of the most fun games to play this NFL season. The rules are simple: choose a team, and as long as they win (or tie), you advance to the next round. If they lose, you are out. The caveat is that you cannot choose the same team twice. If you’ve made it this far, give yourself a pat on the back.

Last week, less than 6% of contestants were eliminated, the lowest rate of any week throughout the season. For the season, only nine underdogs by at least six points have won outright, equaling the fewest during Week 11 in the Super Bowl era.

Still, only 3.4% of participants remain from the first week. With only seven weeks left, it is important to plan ahead in the Eliminator Challenge. Many of the top picks this week will remain attractive in the future, and you don’t want to disappoint yourself.

Baltimore Ravens And Seattle Seahawks Project as heavy chalk, and it’s hard to make a case against either one considering they face two of the worst teams in the NFL. Those are the two biggest favorites in each model.

There are many other robust options if you want to avoid ownership. The five teams remaining have the easiest games this week, including the top four seeded teams. However, I recommend taking the higher win equity with the Ravens or Seahawks.

Mike Clay’s Eliminator Challenge Cheat Sheet

The Ravens are the biggest favorites this week according to both ESPN analytics and the betting markets. This is their easiest game for the rest of the season. There is value in protecting them, as they will be among the five biggest favorites in three of the next four weeks. However, the Ravens are 47-0 as double-digit favorites in the regular season, and it’s hard to imagine upsetting the bottom-feeder Jets squad. Just make sure you have a favorite team for next week, as the Ravens will be a big favorite at home against the Bengals next week.

Chances to Win ESPN Analytics: 81%
Mike Clay’s chances of winning: 85%
ESPN Bet Line: Ravens -13.5 (-1400 moneyline)
Eliminator Challenge: 27% selected

The Seahawks have a similar case to the Ravens, as they face the NFL’s worst team as heavy favorites. The Titans have played a little better since firing Brian Callahan, but their only win is a miracle comeback against the Cardinals. The Seahawks are 5-0 against teams with losing records this season, winning by 17.6 points per game. After this game they have three more worthwhile games left, but none are that easy.

Chances to Win ESPN Analytics: 76%
Mike Clay’s chances of winning: 85%
ESPN Bet Line: -13.5 (-1400 moneyline)
Eliminator Challenge: 30% selected

The Lions have won 13 consecutive games after the loss and have covered the gap in all of them. The Lions also have some value in the future, but this will be their easiest game. However, the Giants are actually ranked as the 15th-best team according to ESPN Analytics, so they have more quality than their 2-9 record suggests. Detroit should win this game, but it’s a little riskier than the first two options.

Chances to Win ESPN Analytics: 70%
Mike Clay’s chances of winning: 73%
ESPN Bet Line: -10 (-650 moneyline)
Eliminator Challenge: 7% selected

The Vikings’ ratings continue to decline due to their quarterback struggles. JJ McCarthy He would rank last in the NFL in total QBR if he qualified, and he is having two terrible games at home. The Packers’ offense recovered from its slump last week and recorded its second-best EPA per game of the season. And like most of the teams above them on this list, this is their easiest remaining game of the season.

Chances to Win ESPN Analytics: 71%
Mike Clay’s chances of winning: 77%
ESPN Bet Line: Packers -6.5 (-300 moneyline)
Eliminator Challenge: 1% selected

The Bengals’ defense is the worst in the NFL by almost every metric, and the offense had its worst game in two months last week at Pittsburgh. Add jammer chase’s suspension, and the Bengals are a great team facing an aggressive Patriots team. New England has had several productive weeks this season, including at least two more games with a higher win probability, which should help them slide down the list.

Chances to Win ESPN Analytics: 59%
Mike Clay’s chances of winning: 75%
ESPN Bet Line: Patriots -8 (-450 Moneyline)
Eliminator Challenge: 3% selected

While the Panthers are somehow 6-5, they are still the seventh-worst team according to ESPN Analytics. brock purdy Is back for San Francisco, and with him the 49ers played one of their best offensive games of the season. The defense is weak against the pass, but bryce young Ranked just 23rd in QBR despite having a career game last week. One main consideration with the 49ers is that they will host the Titans in Week 15. This is an extremely valuable game to save, especially if you’ve already used the Eagles who host the Raiders that week.