espn eliminator challenge One of the most fun games to play this NFL season. The rules are simple: choose a team, and as long as they win (or tie), you advance to the next round. If they lose, you are out. The caveat is that you cannot choose the same team twice. If you’ve made it this far, give yourself a pat on the back.
Last week, the favorites went straight up 11-2 and against the spread. However, the two underdog wins eliminated 39% of the remaining Eliminator Challenge entries, resulting in the second most disastrous week of the season. cincinnati bengals The loss wiped out 20% of the field as they were the most-picked team last week. atlanta falcons Also lost as the fourth most popular pick.
However, this column will live on for another week indianapolis colts easily overcome the inferiors tennessee titansLess than 8% of ESPN entries remain active in Week 9.
There are four high-level options available this week. green Bay Packers, Los Angeles Rams, los angeles chargers And detroit lions All are big favorites, and none are likely to be that well liked for the rest of the season. There’s no reason to go anywhere else as win equity has dropped drastically, so pick your favorite among the four.
The pick for this column would be the Rams, who are the most popular pick for a reason.
Mike Clay’s Eliminator Challenge Cheat Sheet
It is the second-most lopsided matchup of the remainder of the season according to ESPN Analytics. While the Rams have some future value, including Week 13 at Carolina, that’s not a good enough reason to give up such high chances of a win. The biggest reason to go elsewhere is pick rate, as the Rams will be the most popular pick. However, it’s time to eat that chalk on a 14.5-point favorite who ESPN Analytics projects to be no more than a seven favorite the rest of the season.
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Chances to Win ESPN Analytics: 83%
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Mike Clay’s chance to win:91%
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ESPN Bet Line: Rams -14.5 (-1400 moneyline)
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Eliminator Challenge: 28% selected
The Titans have one of the most obvious declines each week as they rank last in offensive efficiency and 31st in defensive efficiency. That’s why the Chargers are the second-biggest favorite by every model this week, even though they’re third in the betting standings. The Chargers have one more key matchup after this week (Week 13 vs. the Raiders), and they’re also a possible option next week (vs. the Steelers), but other than that they have minimal future value.
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Chances to Win ESPN Analytics: 74%
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Mike Clay’s chances of winning: 88%
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ESPN Bet Line: Charger -9.5 (-550 Moneyline)
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Eliminator Challenge: 18% selected
The Packers are the second-biggest favorite based on betting odds. The Panthers are 4-4, but they are 1-3 on the road, losing only to the Jets. bryce young Is dealing with an ankle injury, and andy dalton Posted the lowest total QBR of any quarterback last week, so the Panthers should struggle to move the ball again. Green Bay has some more intriguing matchups, including Week 11 (at the Giants), Week 12 (vs. Vikings) and Week 14 (vs. Bears). The rest of their schedule is the same as the Lions, but they have a slightly easier matchup this week, so they are ahead of Detroit.
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Chances to Win ESPN Analytics: 76%
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Mike Clay’s chances of winning: 86%
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ESPN Bet Line: Packers -12.5 (-1000 moneyline)
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Eliminator Challenge: 14% selected
ESPN Analytics and Mike Clay both rated this as the easiest matchup for Detroit the rest of the season, and they will be significantly less popular than the other top favorites. The Lions have also dominated this series, winning and covering all eight meetings under the leadership of Dan Campbell. They’re a sneaky option, especially if you want to avoid chalk. keep an eye on the status of JJ McCarthyBecause the Lions will move up on this list if they become an undrafted rookie max brosmer Will have to start for Minnesota.
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Chances to Win ESPN Analytics: 75%
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Mike Clay’s chances of winning: 85%
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ESPN Bet Line: Leo -8.5 (-550 moneyline)
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Eliminator Challenge: 1% selected
other options:
official selection
projected path
