espn eliminator challenge One of the most fun games to play this NFL season. The rules are simple: choose a team, and as long as they win (or tie), you advance to the next round. If they lose, you are out. The caveat is that you cannot choose the same team twice. If you’ve made it this far, give yourself a pat on the back.
Chalk’s season reached its peak in week 7, as 93% of the remaining entries survived the previous week. There have been only five upsets by at least a six-point underdog all season, the second fewest through Week 7 in the Super Bowl era (2005).
The worst teams in the NFL aren’t winning this season. Seven teams have separated from the pack as the worst teams in the NFL: The tennessee titans, New York Jets, New Orleans Saints, cleveland browns, cincinnati bengals, las vegas raiders And miami dolphinsAccording to ESPN Analytics, there is a larger gap between the No. 25 and No. 26 teams than the No. 13 and No. 25 teams.
The Titans are in last place, and they are the top team to fade in Week 8. they visit indianapolis coltsThat’s leading to the highest offensive success rate by any team this century. The Colts are the biggest favorites of the week by far, and there’s no reason to look anywhere else.
If you used the Colts, this is a more difficult choice, with the Patriots and Falcons getting a slight edge.
Mike Clay’s Eliminator Challenge Cheat Sheet
Not only are the Colts the heavy favorites this week, but Mike Clay and ESPN Analytics both have this being one of the two most lopsided matchups of the rest of the season. They only have two games remaining against teams below .500 (both vs. houston texans), so their future value is limited. Our two models give the Colts an 89% chance of winning this week, with no other games above 74%.
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Chances to Win ESPN Analytics: 83%
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Mike Clay’s chances of winning: 96%
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ESPN Bet Line: Colts -14.5 (-1600 moneyline)
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Eliminator Challenge: 16% selected
Combining ESPN Analytics and Mike Clay’s model, the Patriots are the second-biggest favorite this week. However, the Patriots still have to face the Jets and Dolphins twice at home in Week 18, so there should be many more opportunities for the Patriots to take advantage. A bonus of using New England now is that they are only selected in 5% of entries, but that is likely to increase.
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Chances to Win ESPN Analytics: 68%
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Mike Clay’s chances of winning: 82%
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ESPN Bet Line: Patriots -6.5 (-400 moneyline)
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Eliminator Challenge: 5% selected
The Dolphins have joined the group of inefficient teams at the bottom of the NFL, ranking last in defensive EPA per game. They aren’t much better offensively, with an overall ranking of 24th this season and 28th since tyreek hill Injury. This is the Falcons’ easiest game on paper through Week 18, making it a strong combination of win probability and lack of future value. Just make sure to monitor Michael Penix Jr.Injury status of.
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Chances to Win ESPN Analytics: 62%
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Mike Clay’s chances of winning: 73%
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ESPN Bet Line: Falcons -7.5 (-425 moneyline)
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Eliminator Challenge: 10% selected
A few weeks ago, this game had the potential to be the top pick of Week 8. But after the Giants’ upset and near-win over the Eagles in Week 6 denver broncos The Giants were the No. 17 team last week, according to ESPN Analytics. However, this is still the second easiest game remaining on the Eagles’ schedule, and the only easy game comes in a week with several stronger options (Week 15). Since 2000, when a team loses as a seven-point favorite, they are 47–25 against the spread in a rematch, so teams like the Eagles usually respond in this spot.
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Chances to Win ESPN Analytics: 65%
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Mike Clay’s chances of winning: 61%
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ESPN Bet Line: Eagles -7.5 (-425 moneyline)
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Eliminator Challenge: 7% selected
Last place goes to the Buccaneers or Bengals. Both Mike Clay and ESPN Analytics have the Bengals rated as a bottom-5 team in the NFL and a smaller favorite than the spread indicates, so as bad as the Jets are, the Buccaneers have a higher chance of victory in both models. The only other time they face a bottom-tier team is in Week 14, also against the Saints. Unless Bengal has no future value Joe Flacco plays, but if joe burro comes back, they continue to have some fascinating matches.
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Chances to Win ESPN Analytics: 65%
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Mike Clay’s chances of winning: 73%
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ESPN Bet Line: Buccaneers -3.5 (-210 moneyline)
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Eliminator Challenge: 18% selected
other options:
official selection
projected path
