Early Week 16 bets: Broncos over Jaguars, Drake Maye to win MVP among picks

week 16 A huge matchup is underway between the NFC West rivals Seattle Seahawks host the Los Angeles Rams On “Thursday Night Football”.

And we get another pair of rivalry games on Saturday philadelphia eagles visit to Washington Commanders and this Chicago Bears hosted green Bay Packers,

Sunday’s slate features a big matchup between the NFC South tampa bay buccaneers And carolina panthers In the starting window of the games. In the late window, jacksonville jaguars to visit denver broncos and this detroit lions host the pittsburgh steelers,

new England Patriots hit the road to pick up Baltimore Ravens To close out Sunday’s action, and san francisco 49ers face the indianapolis colts On “Monday Night Football”.

Matt Bowen, Pamela Maldonado, Ben Solak and Seth Walder look at the early Week 16 hurdles and identify which ones are worth jumping ahead of potential changes at the end of the week.

Attention: from obstacles DraftKings Sportsbook And is subject to change.


Bowen: jaguars quarterback trevor lawrence Light up the Jets in Week 15 by throwing for 330 yards and five scores. But this Broncos defense is different. Crowd nearby. Sticky in coverage. Pressure plans. Denver’s defense dictates the outcome of games. Give me the Broncos to cover at home.

Last week: Lions +6 at Rams (Rams won, 41-34)


Solak: The Ravens ultimately had an average offensive day – but just 17 offensive points against the Bengals’ defense isn’t much to write home about. Linebacker loss teddy buchanan This is huge, as the Ravens are badly in search of LB depth. The Patriots’ loss to the Bills came with some high-leverage second half play, but the Patriots still controlled their destiny in the division by winning. I make it closer to a pick.

Last week: Patriots ML vs. Bills (Bills won, 35-31), Packers -2.5 at Broncos (Broncos won, 34-26)


Maldonado: Both teams want the same game script: run the ball, make plays short, avoid mistakes. Indy is bleeding continuously jonathan taylor Due to limited passing upside, especially if the offense remains conservative. The 49ers score efficiently but not quickly, grinding out drives comfortably. Consecutive possessions, fewer block plays and red zone field goals point to this total falling quickly.

Last week: Lions-Rams over 55 (Rams won, 41-34)


Walder: We’re buying the dip here after the Patriots’ loss to Buffalo, but the case for Mays remains strong. He ranks third in QBR, first in EPA per dropback and compared to other contenders, he gets less support from teammates. The Patriots rank 21st in pass block win rate, 25th in EPA carries per design, and their top receiver stefon diggs (who has been sober for three consecutive weeks), doesn’t have much strength behind him. Additionally, New England relies heavily on Mays: the team ranks third in pass rate beyond expectation, which is higher than all other MVP contenders’ teams. Yes, the No. 1 seed is a long shot at this point, but the Patriots currently have a 53% chance of finishing in one of the top two seeds. While I’m at it, I might be tempted to sprinkle a little jordan love Even at 75-1.

Last week: Cowboys-6 vs. Vikings (Vikings won, 34-26)

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