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Pamela Maldonado
Six weeks in the season, the hesitation race does not look as it was done in August, the national title board is shifting, but mostly stable, and a larger 12 team can be much more dangerous than the market feeling.
From Carson BakeBounce for favorite status Ahmed HardyIn the case of Miami’s stable-raid, why the price of Alabama is still not understood by the steady climb of Miami towards the playoff controversy, what is here that Odds are telling us and where the shore of real betting still lies.
The biggest line for the Heisman Trophy winner runs
Carson BakeQB, Miami +600 
Last week +1200
Six weeks of football complete, six new hesitation favorite. Bake is a new favorite. He was on my list in +2200 Presiden, but at +600, it would not be for me.
Partial qualifications, but it is more about the success of the story and the team than the raw data. Bake has not been statistically prominent, out of the top 50 in the national level passing yard and only in 22nd Touchdown, but he is leading an undefined top 5 Miami team, and coming out of its best performance of the season (4 TD, 0 Int vs. Florida State).
A favorite without a part in a year, those efficiency metrics have been paired with winning at the playoff-caliber program, which is sufficient to justify its bounce on top of the Heisain Board.
Ahmed HardyRB, Missouri +3000
Last week: +3500
Hardy Auds has the top 15, so why bring a player down in half the way in the season? Because some players should only be identified for their contribution. Hardy’s obstacles are improving each week, and while it is unlikely that he makes it in New York, his growing heaman is a real qualification for Auds. He is not only producing volumes, but also has an aristocratic, efficiency-operated effect, which is taking the nation into the yard, second in the touchdown, and the highest PFF is the owner of the Rushing grade.
Contact and elite explosives (21 runs of 10+ yards, the highest combination of the most yard with 15+ yard runs) suggests that both of them are highly dependent as a game-breaker. The mixture of dominance, stability and large-game ability actually elevates one to run back into a serious hesitation dispute. Or at least, a team holds a team about which no one is talking about, at least when expected, the spotlight is pushed into the spotlight.
On the deck: Protect an Alabama which rank in 25 yards per crowd and allows a rushing score on the road this season.
The biggest line step for national championship barriers
Alabama +700
Last week +800
This line is less about the move and the third most obstacles for my assessment of Crimson Tide is about the third most obstacles. I do not agree. Alabama’s defense is far behind the claimants of Elite, the EPA is struggling against both the top 40 ranking/play permission and the run and pass.
Bama’s crime remains inconsistent and bottom-average success rate (45%) and limited explosives, imbalances with flaws, which make them less complete than Ohio state or Oregon and even lag behind Miami. I still don’t see it. And to repeat what I am saying every week, the tests are still coming.
Miami +800
Last week +1500
Miami is worthy of being a third favorite as they are one of the most balanced teams in the country, creating a top -20 defense pair that runs a negative EPA and passes with a crime against both that are constantly improving efficiency and success rates.
With the emergence of that two-way stability, the shift from Auds +1500 to +800 reflects a valid growth in their championship sealing. The storm fit a blueprint for a national competitive team.
Betting ideas: Texas Tech To win Big 12 (-110)
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Does Texas separate Teks from the rest of Big 12?
Pamela Maldonado broke why Texas Tech stands out as one of the most dangerous contenders in Big 12.
When I first shared on Texas Tech +115 to win Big 12 on ESPN Bet on ESPN Bet on Monday afternoon, I said that it would not be the number, and it was not. It has already moved to -110, which shows the data that this is the way of market: Tech conference is the most complete team.
At -110, bets are still playable if you believe Redders will complete the work in December. But if you pay for a little more security, then -180 is a viable option to make the playoffs. The tickets include more paths, including landscapes where Texas Tech turns 12–0, but loses the Big 12 title game, or ends 11–1 and possibly still earns a place based on the strength of the schedule.
Increasing in week 7, red reders are 5–0 and are doing it with a profile that translates in December: a balanced, explosive crime and one of the best defense in the country.
Redders are in the first run defense and coverage grade, which is third in pass-rash production, with opponents to the red zone only nine times throughout the season. This is the type of team that not only wins the shootout, but can also grind you.
And the path is not as difficult as it looks. The BYU conference is the only other undefeated team, but it is a fool’s gold, and the market knows it. Cougar is sitting on -1800 to remember the playoffs. This leaves only two true obstacles for Texas Tech: Arizona State and Road Games in the Cances state. Win one of them, and they are almost certainly playing for the Big 12 title and possibly playing for much more.
If you are already catching +550 tickets from my Presiden Preview, then there is now a better lead -180 to create a playoffs. Because if Tech Big 12 wins, they are guaranteed CFP spots.
Seven in front of them receive pressure without blue, their secondary closed windows, and turn off quarterbacks. Behreen Morton Anyone is the talent and poem of the hand to do punches with anyone. This is not just a fun crime that rides a warm beginning. Texas Tech is a full, experienced roster with a roof high that is sufficient to make noise on the largest platform of the game. So far it seems that (Nil) money has been spent well because they are no longer sleepers – they are the real deal.
