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Pamela Maldonado
Week 1 did not shake the scoreboard, it wrote to the betting board again. In the race for the Heisman Trophy, large -scale swings were seen, with preferred tombing and new names, while the national title painting remains as usual.
The LSU made noise, Texas stumbled and the Ohio kingdom survived, but no one separated himself from the pack. Between the growing quarterbacks, fading stories and shifting audies, the futures market looks widely open, if you know where to buy.
After the week 1, the largest Hesmen trophy line runs
Garat nusmier, +800 
Last week: (+900)
Nusmiyar has officially moved to the top of the Heisman Auds Board after a win over Claimson after the LSU week 1, but I am not buying it. The market is reacting to winning, not to the individual performance of the nusmier, and it matters that the futures when evaluating the price on the ticket.
The nussmeier was efficient, completing 28 out of 38 passes for 230 yards and a touchdown, but the advanced matrix show LSU did not win the game due to its quarterbacks. His passing EPA ended at Dropback -0.09, which means that his performance was best from the point of view of efficiency. LSU plays only two explosive passing all games, similar to Claimson.
Instead of highlighting throw or game-changing moments through the wind, LSU controlled the tempo, avoided mistakes and allowed defense to set the tone.
That defense was suffocating, holding Claimson in only 1.2 yards per crowd, while forcing Cad Clubanic In the long third down. The LSU did not need to handle it as Raksha started to end the game.
Palm’s Techway: This was a statement for LSU, but it was about the identity of the team rather than a man-worthy performance from Nusmier. The opposite is, but if I am buying a ingredient ticket, I want a quarterback team to be able to put the team on his back. I do not see vision after week 1. For now, it is a pass until he shows that he can elevate the LSU beyond the system.
Arch manning, +2000
Last week: +650 (favorite)
This innings is about the assumption that it is about production. Maning 170 yards, 1 TD and 1 Int were finished 17 -30 -30, but a deep issue was efficiency. Through the three quarters, Texas’s passing attack was non-existing, and manning was struggling with time, decision making and pushing the ball down.
But this was not all on him. Steve Sarkisian’s conservative play-calling, red-zone missfire, and a failed QB secretly limited opportunity for “hesitation moments”. The market’s reaction shows suspicion that Texas’s crime may show the reverse of Manning against Elite Defense.
Palm’s Techway: Buying at +2000 now comes down to believe in progress. If you feel that the Texas opens the playbook, the schedule is soft and the fourth quarter shine (105 yards and a TD) of the manning is a sign of development, the value in grabbing the dip. If not, the number may proceed with another rough outing. This is an instability game: in doubt +2000 bakes, but the path is not closed. This is not for me.
Carson Bake +1200 Vs. Lanoris seller +1000
Last week: +1800 and +1600, respectively
I am pinning these two together because there is some publicity on each after week 1. Three weeks ago, I wrote about the new Miami Quarterback Bake on +2000 as a complicated longshot. The story checked every box: A Georgia transfer steps into a quarterback-friendly system, a new beginning after injury and an ACC schedule that can put it in a position to produce it.
After the victory of Miami’s Week 1 on Notre Dame, her obstacles have been shortened, while the sellers of South Carolina have also gone. If you are buying today, then which quarterback is a better case?
Bake’s box score will not, 20-31 and two touchdowns for 205 yards, but reference matters. He faced a top-five notre Dame defense, which suffocated explosive plays in the previous season, and still completed his 65% pass with zero turnover. Miami bowed to a balanced attack with 37 attempts to run, and Bake executed the game plan clearly. So I am not ready to dismiss him, because against the weak ACC secondary, there is place to open in the vertical passing game. If Miami chooses to bend on it, the number of bakes may climb quickly.
Meanwhile, vendors made high-end upside down against Virginia Tech: 209 passing yard, 64-yard touchdown and a crowd score on just 19 attempts. He posted an elite 10.96 yards per dropback with an explosive passing rate. But he also faced a soft defense.
Palm’s Techway: If you are buying today, vendors have a high short -term roof because the crime of South Carolina is already designed to show it. But Bake has more space for development. His story, ACC schedule and unused aggressive ability of Miami make him a smart long -term ticket … if the storm put the ball in his hands.
National championship winning obstacles
After the week 1, it is difficult to feel confident about any national title contender. No one made a statement or separated. If anything, the week reinforced more questions than the answer.
Ohio State (+600) The Presiden was my strongest lean, and nothing about changes in the week 1, but it did not strengthen the matter. Defense looks real, holding Texas for just seven points, but the crime never found a rhythm in the status to avoid the rhythm at the status stop. The opposite is still there, but if they want to be a team then the quarterback play will have to improve.
Pen State (+600) There was “major” at a distance of 46 points and 438 yards, but Nevada is not a measuring stick. Drew alaar It looked clear, the passing game was efficient and Raksha controlled the line of scribe. But we did not learn anything new.
Georgia (+750) Marshall had a 45–7 victory, which it should actually have been, one should have been mismatched. They ran at a distance of about 240 yards and kept the playbook simple. We did not get a true test of whether this crime could increase the ground against real defense, leaving the bulldog as an incomplete picture right now.
Texas (+750) Was my President faded, and why does Ohio reinforce the loss of 14-7 in the state. They had opportunities, but could not finish the drive, went on the third down 5 -for -14 and changed it late. Raksha put them in it, but the crime did not show the playoff-level creativity.
LSU (+900)Even in a disturbed victory over Claimson, it was not confident. The run game 3.5 yards per carry, and the passing game was not dynamic. Good win, but nothing is prominent.
No one made a statement of 1 week. If you were convicted on the Ohio State before the season, you can catch it, but there is no reason to make anyone new at these prices. This is currently a waiting and market.
Betting ideas: Alabama -240 to remember the playoffs
Among my top 25 predictions, +125 Presiden faded on Alabama. Now at -240, it is still playing. This roster has true flaws (o-line, cuby consistency, defensive front depth).
The most spectacular issue was in the trenches. Alabama made only 65 rushing yards at 28 careers, an average of 2.3 per attempt, and was disabled by EPA standards. The aggressive line struggles to create agitation, and without a consistent run game, the passing attack was forced in uncomfortable amounts, 43 attempts at only 5.9 yards per throw.
This incompetence tells you that the receivers were not separating and the quarterback was not continuously giving downfield. To make the case worse, star receiver Ryan Williams Now the convention is in the protocol.
Defensely, Alabama also lost the fight. The Florida State ripped the 214 rushing yard on a 5.4 yard per carry, and it came with a reconstruction offensive line and a transfer quarterback. Crimson could not get away from the Tide block, and the linebackers were slow to fill. If the new-look group of FSU can push them around, what is against the aggressive line of Tennessi or Georgia?
Add the punishment – eight for 70 yards – and you are watching a team that is undisciplined, inconsistent and now not physically prominent. Those flaws have another loss, perhaps two, feel indispensable.
If you are taking the juice comfortably, yes, it is still a purchase, but it is no longer a high-heart drama. This is more than a bangkarrol anchor than a sharp edge.
