President Trump Got angry rapidly With Russian President Vladimir Putin. For about two months he has been threatening the Kremlin with “secondary” restrictions, which will implement high duties on imports from nations that continue to purchase Russian energy resources.
Russians are surprised by Trump’s warnings (As well by Sen Lindsay Graham’s (Rs.) Recent comment), Citing their flexibility towards restrictions. Several official sources It is argued that the US cannot only risk implementing 100 percent of Duties on China, India or Türkiye. If all Russian energy business partners were subjected to the new tariff, the US kidnaps a significant part of its foreign trade and ruins its trade relations with at least 26 countries.
I agree with those who believe that the new tariff cannot be placed by Trump’s updated deadline for Russia. We have seen that 125 percent of the duty on China has run for less than a month, and in recent times, President Trump has 50 percent tariff announced against Brazil, 25 percent tariff against India And 15 percent tariff on European UnionOne hundred percent of the duties do not seem commendable. I would urge to change the overall approach to make the tariff more cheap.
The goal seems to cut the world’s energy supply to the world. Trump’s plan should make Russian oil more expensive for buyers (by the way, The European “Oil Price Cap” approach has failed. This resulted in exemption for Russian oilThus encouraging its smuggling and Russia’s “Shadow Tanker Fleet” Build,
In this sense, Trump’s position seems more effective – but the large problem lies in number. Precourse to Trump’s strategy – Bill Graham and Richard BlueMeultle proposed by Sense I believe it is very radical and, clearly speaking, is not very appropriate due to lack of discrimination.
The actual amount paying to Moscow would be a better option for tariffs for countries. For example, India Sent $ 115 billion in your goods and services In the US in 2024 and Payed $ 49 billion for Russian oil that year, China exports $ 513 billion For the US in 2024 while bought it Russian oil, GasAnd Coal Up to $ 76 billion. European Union figures were $ 939 billion And $ 34 billionSimilarly.
If the US implements 100 percent tariffs associated with imported Russian energy resources, it will fix additional duties for India this year, which 42.6 percent of its exports to the US, 14.8 percent of China and only 3.6 percent in Europe.
These figures are not so amazing. On the one hand, they seem manageable, and on the other, they still double the price of dandruff for importing nations.
If this strategy is taken as the principal one, then the overall additional duties will be equal to the full amount of energy exports of Russia, $ 261.9 billion for 2024As the US has imported goods and services $ 4.11 trillion amountThis figure makes additional tariffs less than 6.5 percent. It looks like a reasonable value to remove Russia as a self-declared “energy superpower”.
This remedy will make Russia’s “shadow fleet” useless, as it doubles the price for Russia’s energy for any country, except that people with zero exports to America. But if they exist, they are not significant oil importers who may be helpful for Moscow in replacing the fading demand for their oil and gas.
I suggest that it is suggested to amend the Bill of Graham and Blamenl to implement duty for imported goods or services in the US, which corresponds to the import of every country of Russian energy resources for the previous year.
This will be a correct recipe for destroying Russian energy exports in two to three years and Putin’s economy will be on the verge of collapse without ruining America’s trade relations for its leading commercial partners. Should Trump adopt such a plan on August 11, the possibility of stopping Russia’s aggression against Ukraine may increase considerably.
Vladislav InaugentSev is a special advisor to the Middle East Media Research InstituteRussian media study projectAnd is a co-founder and senior companion at the Center for Analysis and Strategy in Europe.