Eliminator power rankings: Why you should use Texans, save Bills

September 24, 2025, 01:28 pm ET

ESPN Eliminator challenge This NFL season is one of the most fun and simple games to play. Rules are simple: choose a team, and as long as they win (or tie), you move forward in the next round. If they lose, you are outside. The warning is that you cannot choose the same team twice.

Week 3 was finally upset of the season green Bay Packers By gaining 10 points in the fourth quarter Cleveland BrownThis was the first game of the all season where more than 10% of the grounds were knocked. Nevertheless, 72% of all entrances remain, crying far away from last year when 95% of entry was finished so far.

This week, Buffalo bill The biggest favorite ever is because they host Winless New Orleans SaintsBut they also have the easiest remaining program. The smaller the group, the better the bill is, because the possibility of immediate victory matters more, especially if you have not burnt any other elite teams (or Aerizona cardinalThose who have a prime week 5 matchup, just like the bill).

This week is a close call to the top choice, but I will save the bills below the road and take it instead Houston TexasThe winner involves a greater risk with taking Texas, but they are the third largest moneyline of the week and if they survive then install you for success below the road. If I had five eliminator challenge entries, I go two texas, two bills and one Denver bronchos,

Mike Clay’s Eliminator Challenge Cheat Sheet

Fundamentally, Texas examine almost every box. It is likely to have their highest win in all season in any sport, they have comparatively low selection rate and are one of the biggest favorite of the week. The only box they do not check, actually winning football games.

According to ESPN analytics, NFL should be treated for a domestic game Texas crises against the worst team, even if they have lost at home for Titans in the previous season. Texas are the third largest betting favorite this week, and no coach has decreased compared to betting obstacles in his career more than Brian Colhan (3–17 against proliferation).

Mike Clay a chance to win: 76%
ESPN analytics chance to win: 69%
ESPN condition line: Texas -7.5 (-400 Moneyline)
Eliminator challenge: 9% selected

Before you click on the bill, make sure you are comfortable with your pick in the week 5, as there are less clear pics on paper in the next week. The second great thing about saving bills is that after this week, more than half the entrances will not be likely, no longer they will be available, which will give you strong benefits on the road. But the bills are the safest pick so far, as it is the most loped matchup in all season according to the model of Mike Clay.

Mike Clay a chance to win: 93%
ESPN analytics chance to win: 80%
ESPN condition line: Bill -16.5 (-2000 Moneyline)
Eliminator challenge: 21% selected

Joe BuroEverything changed for Bangles’ approach. ESPN Analytics has dropped Bangles into the number 29 team in its ranking, as they are offensive per 31st per game in EPA and 21st protective.

Eliminator Challenge Market has not yet adjusted enough, as Broncos has been selected only 5% till Tuesday evening. Denver has some strong upcoming matchups, including Jets in London week 6 and weeks 7 at home against giants, but against a home game Jake Browning And the company is a great place.

Mike Clay a chance to win: 80%
ESPN analytics chance to win: 72%
ESPN condition line: Bronchos -7.5 (-380 Moneyline)
Eliminator challenge: 5% selected

This is a difficult journey program for chargers, which started the year in Brazil, then played on Monday night, then a physical home game against Bronchos. Now they fly to face giants across the country Jackson dartThe first is the beginning. Dart wanders a little more with giants, which can provide a spark in place Russell Wilson – Or he could struggle like most miscreants.

Nevertheless, it is a matchup of number 7 and number 31 teams by ESPN analytics, so it is difficult to be very negative about this pick. In terms of future value, chargers are estimated to be favored in almost every game, but have very few weeks in which they are clear options. Their easiest matchup week 9 (in Titans) and Week 13 (VS. Las vegas reders,

Mike Clay a chance to win: 78%
ESPN analytics chance to win: 74%
ESPN condition line: Chargers -6.5 (-300 Moneyline)
Eliminator challenge: 20% selected

Lions understand this week as a great favorite at home against an inferior team. However, Lions have a higher future value than Bronchos, Chargers and Texas, and they have a much less winning win this week than bills.

With high ownership expected to Lions, and they look like an easy team to save later, perhaps as the next week, where ESPN Analytics and Mike Clay listed both Lions as the biggest favorite (in Bangles).